We propose a generalization of the Dynamic Conditional Correlation multivariate GARCH model of Engle [R.F. Engle, Dynamic conditional correlation: a simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 20...

The financial econometrics literature includes several Multivariate GARCH models where the model parameter matrices depend on a clustering of financial assets. Those classes might be defined a priori or data-driven. When the latter approach is followed, one method for deriving asset groups is...

The paper forecasts conditional correlations between three classes of international financial assets, namely stock, bond and foreign exchange. Two countries are considered, namely Australia and New Zealand. Forecasting will be conducted using three multivariate GARCH models, namely the CCC model...

Real non-durable consumption expenditure for many countries typically exhibits substantial seasonal fluctuations. In this paper, two seasonal models that are consistent with an extension of the rational expectations life-cycle permanent income hypothesis are evaluated using quarterly seasonally...

Many macroeconomic forecasts and forecast updates like those from IMF and OECD typically involve both a model component, which is replicable, as well as intuition, which is non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster. If forecast updates are progressive, forecast...

What are the advances introduced by realized volatility models in pricing options? In this short paper we analyze a simple option pricing framework based on the dually asymmetric realized volatility model, which emphasizes extended leverage effects and empirical regularity of high volatility...

Asia is presently the most important market for the production and consumption of natural rubber. World prices of rubber are subject to not only to changes in demand, but also speculation regarding future markets. Japan and Singapore are the major future markets for rubber, while Thailand is one...

Atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations (ACDC) are critical to the global temperature control system and climate change, with ACDC levels having increased rapidly since the start of the industrial revolution in the late 1700s, and the climate having become quite unstable with significant...

In this paper a number of alternative autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models are compared using a sample of data for three major companies traded on the Australian Stock Exchange. The comparison is performed by employing the methodology for evaluating density and interval forecasts,...

Prices in the hog industry in Taiwan are determined according to an auction system. There are significant differences in hog prices before, during and after joining the World Trade Organization (WTO). The paper models growth rates and volatility in daily hog prices in Taiwan from 23 March 1999...