This paper shows that in the almost four decades from January 1965 through to December 2003, US stock prices closely followed the 4-year Presidential Election Cycle. In general, stock prices fell during the first half of a Presidency, reached a trough in the second year, rose during the second...

This paper develops a new test, the trinomial test, for pairwise ordinal data samples to improve the power of the sign test by modifying its treatment of zero differences between observations, thereby increasing the use of sample information. Simulations demonstrate the power superiority of the...

The technique of ANOVA has been widely used in economics and finance where the observations are usually time-dependent but the model itself is treated as independent in time. In this paper, we extend an ANOVA model by relaxing the assumption of independence in time. We further relax the...

Testing for stochastic dominance among distributions is an important issue in the study of asset management, income inequality, and market efficiency. This paper conducts Monte Carlo simulations to examine the sizes and powers of several commonly used stochastic dominance tests when the...

The traditional linear Granger test has been widely used to examine the linear causality among several time series in bivariate settings as well as multivariate settings. Hiemstra and Jones [19] develop a nonlinear Granger causality test in bivariate settings to investigate the nonlinear...

Box–Jenkins (1970) models are often used to capture the autoregressive moving average of past observations of tourist arrivals from Japan to Taiwan and New Zealand. However, other explanatory variables, such as real income in the origin country, have also affected the demand for international...

The Risk Premium and Cost-of-Carry models regarding the pricing of Australian dollar futures contracts traded on the International Monetary Market of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange are estimated and compared. Cointegrating relationships among the Australian dollar spot and futures prices, and...

There exist several important benchmark indexes in environmental finance, some computed by well-known financial index providers such as the Dow Jones group and others by independent agencies specializing in environmentally and socially responsible investing in finance. The construction of these...

Within the industrial metals industry, there has been a great deal of interest surrounding trends in metals market volatility over time. This paper uses a rolling AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) model to estimate and forecast the volatility processes for daily returns on the futures prices of two important...