Wong, Wing-Keung; McAleer, Michael - In: Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM) 79 (2009) 11, pp. 3267-3277
This paper shows that in the almost four decades from January 1965 through to December 2003, US stock prices closely followed the 4-year Presidential Election Cycle. In general, stock prices fell during the first half of a Presidency, reached a trough in the second year, rose during the second...