This paper documents that momentum profits in corporate bonds prevail during weakening aggregate credit conditions, and are driven by losers. Consistent with this, we find that a conditional default factor explains the cross-section returns of corporate bond portfolios sorted by past...

Recent studies find stock returns are negatively related to idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL). We find that aggregate variables known to explain stock market volatility affect the IVOL and portfolio returns sorted by IVOL. Macroeconomic volatilities, yield spreads, dividend yield, trading volume...

Little is known about how bank capital affects bank stock performance. We show that capital does not affect returns unconditionally, but high-capital banks have higher risk-adjusted stock returns (alphas) than low-capital banks in bad times in and out of sample. Trading strategies earn...

This paper proposes a neoclassical growth model of a small open economy, connecting international trade to real GDP growth and structural transformation from agriculture to non-agriculture. The calibrated model generates 'growth miracles,' to which the contributors are learning by doing and...