According to the June 2005 economic outlook of the Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB), Austria's real gross domestic product (GDP) is projected to grow 2.0% in 2005 and to advance to 2.2% both in 2006 and 2007. Fueled by the oil price surge, inflation as measured by the Harmonised Index of...

In this paper we provide a review of the literature on the link between stock market volatility and aggregate demand. In particular, we focus on the implications of the so-called uncertainty hypothesis according to which it is primarily the uncertainty associated with stock market fluctuations...

In this paper we survey empirical evidence on the limited pass-through from policy to retail interest rates and summarize some recent research on potential implications for monetary policy and macroeconomic fluctuations. Empirical evidence suggests that while the pass-through is incomplete in...

This study, which offers a thorough analysis of growth in the past four decades, pinpoints total factor productivity (TFP) and human capital as the main engines of growth in Austria. In a further step it sheds light on the determining factors of TFP against the backdrop of a theoretical...

According to the June 2006 economic outlook of the Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB), Austria’s real gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to grow 2.5% in 2006 and 2.2% in both 2007 and 2008. The OeNB’s growth forecast for 2006 has been revised upward by 0.2 percentage point since the...

In this paper we discuss issues related to the longer-run growth prospects of the Austrian economy. We briefly survey methods commonly applied to estimate the growth potential of an economy. According to currently available estimates, the growth rate of Austrian potential output is roughly 2%.We...

Inflation expectations play a crucial role in modern monetary policy, given their capacity to influence actual inflation and given their informative value on the central bank’s credibility with regard to safeguarding price stability. The risk of a de-anchoring of inflation expectations in the...