A new technique is demonstrated for the simultaneous estimation of potential output and the Phillips curve. In this paper, we define potential output as the non-accelerating inflation level of output (NAILO). The NAILO is not a simple trend of actual output. Instead, it is the critical level of...

In this paper, we set out the Japanese Economic Model (JEM), a large-scale macroeconomic model of the Japanese economy. Although the JEM is a theoretical model designed with a view to overcoming the Lucas ( 1976) critique of traditional large-scale macroeconomic models, it can also be used for...