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yields on long maturity inflation - indexed bonds. This relationship can be interpreted as defining the fair value of the … exchange rate that will prevail in any model or real world economy in which inflation indexed bonds are traded. An advantage of … with a 50 basis point rise in the inflation indexed bond return differential in favor of the foreign country and an 50 …
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This paper estimates expected future real interest rates and inflation rates from observed prices of UK government …-linked bonds. It assumes that expected log returns on all bonds are equal, and that expected real interest rates and inflation … inflation expectations forecast actual future inflation more accurately than nominal yields do. The estimated real interest rate …
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We define the Fisherian Golden Rule measure of bond market inflation expectations as the difference between bond rates … and trend real GDP growth rates. The concept is based on the Fisherian theory that an increase in longer-term inflation … rates of interest would equal the growth rate of real output. We compare the bond market inflation experiences of 13 …
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We argue that the Great Inflation experienced by both the United Kingdom and the United States in the 1970s has an … common doctrine underlying the systematic monetary policy choices in each country. The nonmonetary approach to inflation …
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