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weight on downside risk [as modeled by Gul (1991)]. Policy uncertainty is induced by the Disappointment aversion implies that …This paper studies the effect of policy uncertainty on the formation of new activities in Romer's (1994) type of an … uncertainty induces first-order adverse effects, whereas policy uncertainty leads to second-order effects when consumers maximize …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774962
continue to hold even if the coefficient of relative risk aversion approaches zero (that is, even if the marginal utility of … income is constant so that agents are risk neutral in the conventional sense) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763700
activities. This paper demonstrates that uncertainty may induce similar costs. This argument is illustrated in the context of … and intermediate products used in domestic production. The present paper shows that uncertainty acts as an implicit tax on …, uncertainty inhibits the formation of new activities. Unlike the tariff, however, uncertainty does not benefit the government with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324467
This paper explores links between policy uncertainty and growth. It provides evidence on the correlation between policy … uncertainty and per capita real GDP for 46 developing countries over the 1970-85 period. Cross-section regressions on growth … suggest that after accounting for standard variables from the endogenous growth literature, policy uncertainty and growth are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141088
We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for sixty countries based on fiscal space (debt/tax; deficits/tax) and other … and economically important determinants of market-based sovereign risk. Although the explanatory power of fiscal space … emergence of TED spread as a key pricing factor. However, risk-pricing of the South-West Eurozone Periphery countries is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120304
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001817548
This paper analyzes the factors determining the effective payment on outstanding debt in the presence of partial defaults, and the feasibility of renewed investment. We show that the bargaining outcome, which determines the repayment, is dictated by the trade dependency, as measured by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135125
This paper presents a model comparing the degree of asset class diversification abroad by a central bank and a sovereign wealth fund. We show that if the central bank manages its foreign asset holdings in order to meet balance of payments needs, particularly in reducing the probability of sudden...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137768
The purpose of this study is to identify conditions under which renewed international. lending will benefit both the developed and the developing countries. Our analysis will evaluate how the presence of terms of trade adjust-rent and distorted credit markets affect the conditions for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139886
which exposes the economy to future financial crises. There is individual-uncertainty about the crisis incidence, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152612