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We study the design of optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. We … use a Markov jump-linear-quadratic (MJLQ) approach to study policy design, approximating the uncertainty by different … a benchmark New Keynesian model, analyzing how policy is affected by uncertainty, and how learning and active …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759442
uncertainty, so-called Markov jump-linear-quadratic systems extended to include forward-looking variables. The form of model … uncertainty our framework encompasses includes: simple i.i.d. model deviations; serially correlated model deviations; estimable … regime-switching models; more complex structural uncertainty about very different models, for instance, backward- and forward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218440
The foreign exchange risk premium in an exchange rate target zone regime with devaluation/realignment risks is derived … devaluation/realignment risk, is taken into account. The risk premium is then the sum of two separate risk premia, arising from … real and nominal exchange rate premia are considered. The real and nominal risk premia from movements within the band are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222618
We study the problem of a policymaker who seeks to set policy optimally in an economy where the true economic structure is unobserved, and he optimally learns from observations of the economy. This is a classic problem of learning and control, variants of which have been studied in the past, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759822
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-market economies. The chapter discusses the history, macroeconomic effects, theory, practice, and future of inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131986
We define and study transparency, credibility, and reputation in a model where the central bank's characteristics are unobservable to the private sector and are inferred from the policy outcome. A low-credibility bank optimally conducts a more inflationary policy than a high-credibility bank, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137302