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A basic prediction of effcient risk-sharing is that relative consumption growth rates across countries or regions …, employing a newly constructed multi-country and multi-regional data set. Within countries, we find signifcant evidence for risk …. We identify this failure of risk sharing as a border effect. We find that the border effect is substantially (but not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121595
accounts for the interaction between temperature, economic growth and risk. The model simultaneously matches the projected … temperature path, the observed consumption growth dynamics, discount rates provided by the risk-free rate and equity market … resolution of uncertainty and long-run impact of temperature on growth imply a significant SCC and motivate early actions to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966590
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011413003
We study the effects of changes in uncertainty about future fiscal policy on aggregate economic activity. Fiscal … consolidation inevitable, there is considerable uncertainty about the policy mix and timing of such budgetary adjustment. To … evaluate the consequences of this increased uncertainty, we first estimate tax and spending processes for the U.S. that allow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121070
The adoption and diffusion of technological knowledge is generally regarded as a key element in a country's economic success. However, as is the case with most types of information, the transfer of technological knowledge is likely to be subject to adverse selection problems. In this paper we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755309
, economic uncertainty, and risk premia influence firms' financing and default policies. Countercyclical fluctuations in risk …. These comovements generate large credit risk premia for investment grade firms, which helps address the "credit spread …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141351
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001886832
The long term discount rate is critically dependent upon projections of future growth rates that are fuzzier in proportion to the remoteness of the time horizon. This paper models such increasing fuzziness as an evolving hidden-state stochastic process. The underlying trend growth rate is an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104998
This paper explores links between policy uncertainty and growth. It provides evidence on the correlation between policy … uncertainty and per capita real GDP for 46 developing countries over the 1970-85 period. Cross-section regressions on growth … suggest that after accounting for standard variables from the endogenous growth literature, policy uncertainty and growth are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141088
In this paper we show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth. Our argument … temperature (i.e., temperature betas) contains sharp information about the cross-country risk premium; countries closer to the … Equator carry a positive temperature risk premium which decreases as one moves farther away from the Equator. The differences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118834