Showing 1 - 10 of 22
Measured by the ratio of trade to output, the period 1870 1913 marked the birth of the first era of trade globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223049
This paper studies the synchronization of financial cycles across 17 advanced economies over the past 150 years. The comovement in credit, house prices, and equity prices has reached historical highs in the past three decades. The sharp increase in the comovement of global equity markets is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916914
Long-run cross-country price data exhibit a puzzle. Today, richer countries exhibit higher price levels than poorer countries, a stylized fact usually attributed to the Balassa- Samuelson' effect. But looking back fifty years, or more, this effect virtually disappears from the data. What is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114711
In this paper I use a large multi-country data set to analyze the determinants of abrupt and large %u201Ccurrent account reversals.%u201D The results from a variance-component probit model indicate that the probability of experiencing a major current account reversal is positively affected by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761662
disorder in the world economy. The interwar disorder often is linked to policies inconsistent with the constraint of the open … yield. This historical analytic narrative is compelling with significant ramifications for today's world, if true but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755788
controversy continues today, even as the world is experiencing an unprecedented period of trade liberalization, and in spite of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230185
In this paper I use a cross country data set to analyze the relationship between trade orientation, trade distortions and growth. I first develop a simple endogenous growth model that emphasizes the process of technological absorption in small developing countries. According to this model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138665
Do international trade and finance flow together? In theory, trade and finance can be substitutes or complements, so the matter must be resolved empirically. We study trade and financial flows from the United Kingdom from 1870 to 1913 and the United States in the interwar years. Trade and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778305
We offer a new explanation as to why international trade is so volatile in response to economic shocks. Our approach combines the uncertainty shock idea of Bloom (2009) with a model of international trade, extending the idea to the open economy. Firms import intermediate inputs from home or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057826
This paper uses three models of a small open economy to analyze the effects of terms of trade and exchange rate changes (i.e. devaluations) on labor market adjustment. First, a three goods (exportables, importables, non-tradables), four factors model is developed and used to investigate how an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234385