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Time-inconsistency of no-bailout policies can create incentives for banks to take excessive risks and generate endogenous crises when the government cannot commit. However, at the outbreak of financial problems, usually the government is uncertain about their nature, and hence it may delay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087435
which financial markets were trying to allocate risk between heterogeneous agents when productive investment opportunities … are scarce. We begin by showing how heterogeneity in terms of risk tolerance can cause financial markets to propagate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158533
expected exchange rate depreciations (appreciations) for high (low) interest rate currencies, suggesting that disaster risk is … priced in currency markets. To study the price of disaster risk, we propose a simple structural model that includes both … Gaussian and disaster risk and can be estimated even in samples that do not contain disasters. Estimating the model over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152552
the guarantee-extending parties to "walk away". I derive the optimal risk management rule in such a framework and show … that it allows high volatility choices, while net worth is high. However, risk limits tighten abruptly when the firm's net … risk management rules, and can account for phenomena such as "flight to quality" …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152555
monetary policy. The theory unifies an endogenous supply of illiquid local loans and risk-sharing among subsidiaries of bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995512
We propose several econometric measures of systemic risk to capture the interconnectedness among the monthly returns of … find that all four sectors have become highly interrelated over the past decade, increasing the level of systemic risk in … of market dislocation, and systemic risk arises from a complex and dynamic network of relationships among hedge funds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139889
Does short-term debt increase vulnerability to financial crisis, or does short-term debt reflect -- rather than cause -- the incipient crisis? We study the role that short-term debt played in the collapse of the East Asian financial sector in 1997-1998. We alleviate concerns about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119955
We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for sixty countries based on fiscal space (debt/tax; deficits/tax) and other … and economically important determinants of market-based sovereign risk. Although the explanatory power of fiscal space … emergence of TED spread as a key pricing factor. However, risk-pricing of the South-West Eurozone Periphery countries is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120304
Can increased uncertainty about the future cause a contraction in output and its components? An identified uncertainty …-equilibrium models with flexible prices cannot reproduce this comovement. However, uncertainty shocks can easily generate comovement with … countercyclical markups through sticky prices. Monetary policy plays a key role in offsetting the negative impact of uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100021
Here, I present and discuss a "10-by-10-by-10" network-based approach to monitoring systemic financial risk. Under this … of cash flow, allowing regulators to assess risk magnitudes in terms of stresses to both economic values and also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092573