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in the US post-bubble period. But the US has worse fiscal and current account imbalances than Japan had at the same stage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767618
This paper explores the consequences of extremely low real interest rates in a world with integrated but heterogenous capital markets and nominal rigidities. We establish four main results: (i) Liquidity traps spread to the rest of the world through the current account, which we illustrate with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013171
In the wake of Brexit and the Trump tariff war, and a general weakening of the political support for free trade, central banks have been faced with the need to reconsider the role of monetary policy in managing the economic effects of unexpected hikes in tariffs and trade costs. Although tariffs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324682
This paper argues that the banking crises in the United States in the early 1930s were similar to the twin crises' -- banking and balance of payments crises -- which have occurred in developing countries in recent years. The downturn that began in 1929 undermined banks that had made risky loans...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220071
During the Bretton Woods era, balance-of-payments developments, gold losses, and exchange-rate concerns had little influence on Federal Reserve monetary policy, even after 1958 when such issues became critical. The Federal Reserve could largely disregard international considerations because the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224132
We explore the implications of current account adjustment for monetary policy within a simple two-country DSGE model. Our framework nests Obstfeld and Rogoff's (2005) static model of exchange rate responsiveness to current account reversals. It extends this approach by endogenizing the dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759418
This paper is an analytic comment on two chapters of the Economic Report of the President for 2006. Chapter One deals with the economy in 2005 and the outlook for the future. The chapter provides a detailed analysis of the expansion in 2005 but not an explanation of why the expansion occurred...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235896
Countries with high debt loads are vulnerable to an adverse feedback loop in which doubts by lenders lead to higher sovereign interest rates which in turn make the debt problems more severe. We analyze the recent experience of advanced economies using both econometric methods and case studies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077956
Emerging market economies, which have much of their growth ahead of them, run persistent current account deficits in order to smooth consumption intertemporally. The counterpart of these deficits is their dependence on capital inflows, which can suddenly stop. In this paper we develop and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228758
Monetary policies in the U.S., Japan, Germany and the United Kingdom over the period 1973-1986 are compared and … Bundesbank and the Bank of Japan each focus on one money target, described by the Bundesbank as a target, and by the Bank of … Japan as a projection. None of the countries has stuck rigorously to the targets, though the Bank of Japan has come close …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777224