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A basic prediction of effcient risk-sharing is that relative consumption growth rates across countries or regions …, employing a newly constructed multi-country and multi-regional data set. Within countries, we find signifcant evidence for risk …. We identify this failure of risk sharing as a border effect. We find that the border effect is substantially (but not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121595
In this research, we provide new empirical evidence on the importance of time-varying uncertainty for the exchange rate … and the excess return in currency markets. Following an increase in monetary policy uncertainty, the dollar exchange rate … general-equilibrium theory of exchange rate determination based on the interaction between monetary policy and time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123697
average risk tolerance across investors. The same constant applies to every real foreign investment held by every investor … market risk premia, an average of world market volatilities, and an average of exchange rate volatilities, where we take the … exchange risk approaches zero, the constant will be equal to one minus the ratio of the variance of the world market return to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218727
The foreign exchange risk premium in an exchange rate target zone regime with devaluation/realignment risks is derived … devaluation/realignment risk, is taken into account. The risk premium is then the sum of two separate risk premia, arising from … real and nominal exchange rate premia are considered. The real and nominal risk premia from movements within the band are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222618
because the former allows risk sharing across countries while the latter does not. The analysis is performed in a two … demonstrated that the ability to share risk across countries in the fixed rate regime does not necessarily lead to higher welfare … than the inability to share risk in the flexible rate regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232193
a sticky-price alternative to Lucas's (1982) exchage rate risk premium model. We show that the level risk premium' in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232899
Techniques of regulated Brownian motion are used to analyze the behavior of the exchange rate when official policy reaction functions are subject to future stochastic changes. We examine exchange-rate dynamics in alternative cases where the authorities promise (i) to confine a floating rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235886
We present an econometric method for estimating the parameters of a diffusion model from discretely sampled data. The estimator is transparent, adaptive, and inherits the asymptotic properties of the generally unattainable maximum likelihood estimator. We use this method to estimate a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235636
so doing, we bring two strands of the exchange rate literature, namely market-microstructure and risk-based models … carry trading and momentum strategies. We find that they appear to be good proxies for currency crash risk. Additionally, we … the foreign exchange market. In particular, it appears that financial customers are risk takers in the market, while non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291553
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001046724