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realignment of world growth rates -- with Japan and Europe growing faster, and the U.S. growing more slowly -- is likely to solve … a percentage point of GDP. Taken together, these results indicate that a realignment of global growth -- with Japan and …
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In this paper I use a panel data set to investigate the mechanics of sudden stops of capital inflows and current account reversals. I am particularly interested in four questions: (a) What is the relationship between sudden stops and current account reversals? (b) To what extent does financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133169
With US trade and current account deficits approaching 6% of GDP, some have argued that the country is "on the comfortable path to ruin" and that the required "adjustment'' may be painful. We suggest instead that things are fine: although national saving is low, the ratios of household and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153986
We use a forty-two country model of production and trade to assess the implications of eliminating current account imbalances for relative wages, relative GDP's, real wages, and real absorption. How much relative GDP's need to change depends on flexibility of two forms: factor mobility and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772425
Numerical simulation analysis of bargaining solutions is little developed in existing literature. Here we use a multi country, single period numerical general equilibrium model which captures China and her major trading partners and examine the outcomes of trade policy bargaining solutions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110936
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Does macroeconomic volatility/uncertainty affects accumulation of net foreign assets? In OECD economies over the period 1970-2012, changes in country specific aggregate volatility are, after controlling for a wide array of factors, significantly positively associated with net foreign asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005376
The paper discusses a model in which growth is a negative function of fiscal burden. Moreover, growth discontinuously switches from high to low as fiscal burden reaches a critical level. Growth collapse is associated with a Sudden Stop of capital inflows, real depreciation and a drop in output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223561