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This paper reviews the literature on international comparative household finance. The paper presents summary statistics on household balance sheets for 13 developed countries, and uses these statistics to discuss common features and contrasts across countries. The paper then discusses retirement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997290
Within the last five years, Canada, Sweden and New Zealand have joined the ranks of the United Kingdom and other countries in issuing government bonds that are indexed to inflation. Some observers of the experience in these countries have argued that the United States should follow suit. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234354
This paper explores the causes and consequences of cross-country variation in mortgage market structure. It draws on insights from several fields: urban economics, asset pricing, behavioral finance, financial intermediation, and macroeconomics. It discusses lessons from the credit boom, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101510
franc (particularly in the second half of the period) have moved against world equity markets. Thus these currencies should …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776958
To estimate the equity premium, it is helpful to use finance theory: not the old-fashioned theory that efficient … markets imply a constant equity premium, but theory that restricts the time-series behavior of valuation ratios, and that … for stock returns. A steady-state approach suggests that the world geometric average equity premium was almost 4% at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759797
This paper uses an intertemporal equilibrium asset pricing model to interpret the cross-sectional pattern of stock and bond returns. The model relates assets' mean returns to their covariances with the contemporaneous return and news about future returns on the market portfolio. In a departure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223885
The permanent income hypothesis implies that people save because they rationally expect their labor income to decline; they save "for a rainy day". It follows that saving should be at least as good a predictor of declines in labor income as any other forecast that can be constructed from publicly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224398
The long-run risks model of asset prices explains stock price variation as a response to persistent fluctuations in the mean and volatility of aggregate consumption growth, by a representative agent with a high elasticity of intertemporal substitution. This paper documents several empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225971
This paper reviews the literature on the relation between short- and long-term interest rates. It summarizes the mixed evidence on the expectations hypothesis of the term structure: when long rates are high relative to short rates, short rates tend to rise as implied by the expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235878
This paper solves a dynamic model of a household's decision to default on its mortgage, taking into account labor income, house price, inflation, and interest rate risk. Mortgage default is triggered by negative home equity, which results from declining house prices in a low inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119572