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Credit Spreads as Predictors of Real-Time Economic Activity : A Bayesian Model-Averaging Approach
Faust, Jon - 2011
Employing a large number of real and financial indicators, we use Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to forecast real-time measures of economic activity. Importantly, the predictor set includes option-adjusted credit spread indexes based on bond portfolios sorted by maturity and credit risk as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130981
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Credit Risk and Disaster Risk
Gourio, Francois - 2011
Corporate credit spreads are large, volatile, countercyclical, and significantly larger than expected losses, but existing macroeconomic models with financial frictions fail to reproduce these patterns, because they imply small and constant aggregate risk premia. Building on the idea that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125570
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The relative valuation of caps and swaptions : theory and empirical evidence
Longstaff, Francis A.; Santa-Clara, Pedro; Schwartz, … - In: The journal of finance : the journal of the American … 56 (2001) 6, pp. 2067-2109
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001631728
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Swap rates and credit quality
Duffie, Darrell - In: The journal of finance : the journal of the American … 51 (1996) 3, pp. 921-949
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001203636
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The default risk of swaps
Cooper, Ian - In: The journal of finance : the journal of the American … 46 (1991) 2, pp. 597-620
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001108680
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Swaps: plain and fanciful
Litzenberger, Robert H. - In: The journal of finance : the journal of the American … 47 (1992) 3, pp. 831-850
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001132041
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Interest rate swaps and corporate financing choices
Titman, Sheridan - In: The journal of finance : the journal of the American … 47 (1992) 4, pp. 1503-1516
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001133686
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Simple Variance Swaps
Martin, Ian - 2011
the single-name variance swap market to dry up completely. This paper defines and analyzes a simple variance swap, a … relative of the variance swap that in several respects has more desirable properties. First, simple variance swaps are robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128275
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An Evaluation of Multi-Factor Cir Models Using Libor, Swap Rates, and Cap and Swaption Prices
Kaplin, Andrew - 2010
We evaluate the classical Cox, Ingersoll and Ross (1985) (CIR) model using data on LIBOR, swap rates and caps and … swaptions. With three factors the CIR model is able to fit the term structure of LIBOR and swap rates rather well. The model is … able to match the hump shaped unconditional term structure of volatility in the LIBOR-swap market. However, statistical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763074
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Banks and Derivatives
Gorton, Gary B.; Rosen, Richard J. - 2021
interest-rate sensitivities of interest rate swap positions of U.S. commercial banks to empirically address the question of … whether swap contracts have increased or decreased systematic risk in the U.S. banking system. We find that the banking system … as a whole faces little net interest-rate risk from swap portfolios …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224189