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Overall, the ECB managed monetary policy quite satisfactory in the first phase of EMU. Nevertheless, this paper asks whether monetary policy could not have been improved. In the last three years, Euroland was confronted with the first external shock. Oil prices increased considerably, leading to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011492736
The possibility that the euro area might break up was being raised even before the single currency existed. These … scenarios were then lent new life five or six years on, when appreciation of the euro and problems of slow growth in various … unlikely, I argue here, that one or more members of the euro area will leave in the next ten years; total disintegration of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759842
propose a comprehensive description of how monetary policy affects the euro area economy. We focus mainly on three questions … countries? (2) can the classic' interest rate channel (IRC) alone, without capital market imperfections, explain these facts? (3 …) if not, is the bank lending channel a likely candidate to complete the story? We find plausible euro-area wide monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233437
This paper characterizes the transmission mechanism of monetary shocks across countries of the euro area, documents how … this mechanism has changed with the introduction of the euro, and explores some potential explanations. The factor …-augmented VAR (FAVAR) framework used is sufficiently rich to jointly model the euro area dynamics while permitting the transmission …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233890
others used the gravity model on a much smaller data set to estimate the effects of the euro on trade among its members. The … that were estimated in the euro's first four years hold up in the second four years? The answer is yes. Second, and more … explanations for the gap between 15% and 200%. First, lags. The euro is still very young. Second, size. The European countries are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236830
nineties and the puzzling decline of the euro during its virtual existence to changes in the demand for deutschmarks in eastern … the dollar and the weakness of the euro reflect the prosperity of the US and the weakness of the European economy on both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230968
This report describes an easily computable model of the relation between cigarette prices and cigarette consumption in the United States. The model is used to predict the revenue impacts of Federal excise tax hikes ranging from $0.45 to $1.76 per pack
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246997
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