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Overall, the ECB managed monetary policy quite satisfactory in the first phase of EMU. Nevertheless, this paper asks whether monetary policy could not have been improved. In the last three years, Euroland was confronted with the first external shock. Oil prices increased considerably, leading to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011492736
This study grounds the establishment of EMU and the euro in the context of the history of international monetary … for a more expansive monetary policy. Such demands might arise in some parts or regions or countries of the euro area, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772728
The possibility that the euro area might break up was being raised even before the single currency existed. These … scenarios were then lent new life five or six years on, when appreciation of the euro and problems of slow growth in various … unlikely, I argue here, that one or more members of the euro area will leave in the next ten years; total disintegration of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759842
others used the gravity model on a much smaller data set to estimate the effects of the euro on trade among its members. The … that were estimated in the euro's first four years hold up in the second four years? The answer is yes. Second, and more … explanations for the gap between 15% and 200%. First, lags. The euro is still very young. Second, size. The European countries are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236830
This paper documents the evidence for a productivity based model of the dollar/euro real exchange rate over the 1985 … the Johansen (1988) and Stock-Watson (1993) procedures. We find that each percentage point in the US-Euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247630
This report describes an easily computable model of the relation between cigarette prices and cigarette consumption in the United States. The model is used to predict the revenue impacts of Federal excise tax hikes ranging from $0.45 to $1.76 per pack
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246997
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