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We study optimal fiscal policy in a small open economy (SOE) with sovereign and private default risk. The SOE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120194
We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for sixty countries based on fiscal space (debt/tax; deficits/tax) and other … and economically important determinants of market-based sovereign risk. Although the explanatory power of fiscal space … emergence of TED spread as a key pricing factor. However, risk-pricing of the South-West Eurozone Periphery countries is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120304
Emerging markets business cycle models treat default risk as part of an exogenous interest rate on working capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123681
which financial markets were trying to allocate risk between heterogeneous agents when productive investment opportunities … are scarce. We begin by showing how heterogeneity in terms of risk tolerance can cause financial markets to propagate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158533
Can governments roll their debt over forever in dynamically efficient economies, and thus avoid the need to raise taxes? While the answer is a clear no under certainty, it depends, under uncertainty, on whether public debt provides intergenerational insurance. When it does not, rollover is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767839
countries. Yet these liabilities are rarely measured, let alone properly adjusted for their risk. This paper shows, by example …, how modern asset pricing can be used to value implicit fiscal debts taking into account their risk properties. The example …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012769639
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011948224
that procyclicality is more pervasive in countries with higher sovereign risk and provide a model of optimal fiscal policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862402
Empirical studies suggest that fluctuations in the level and volatility of the world interest rate (as measured by the US treasury bill rate) affect sovereign spreads in emerging economies. We incorporate an estimated time-varying process for the world interest rate (with both level and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405012
The paper explores the macroeconomic consequences of fiscal consolidations whose timing and composition are uncertain. Drawing on the evidence in Alesina and Ardagna (2010), we emphasize whether or not the fiscal consolidation is driven by tax rises or expenditure cuts. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110470