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We estimate channels of international risk sharing between European Monetary Union (EMU), European Union, and other … OECD countries 1992-2007. We focus on risk sharing through savings, factor income flows, and capital gains. Risk sharing … through factor income and capital gains was close to zero before 1999 but has increased since then. Risk sharing from capital …
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their risk assessments and outcomes to those from a simple methodology that relies on publicly available market data and … market data; (iii) This discrepancy arises due to the reliance on regulatory risk weights in determining required levels of … capital once stress-test losses are taken into account. In particular, the continued reliance on regulatory risk weights in …
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trade policy risk across products and asymmetric for UK and EU exporters. We estimate that a persistent doubling of the … probability of Brexit at the average disagreement tariff of 4.5% lowers EU-UK bilateral export values by 15 log points on average …, and more so for EU than UK exporters. Neither believed a trade war was likely.Institutional subscribers to the NBER …
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In this paper we estimate a Bayesian vector autoregressive model with factor stochastic volatility in the error term to assess the effects of an uncertainty shock in the Euro area. This allows us to treat macroeconomic uncertainty as a latent quantity during estimation. Only a limited number of...
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