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In this paper we estimate a Bayesian vector autoregressive model with factor stochastic volatility in the error term to assess the effects of an uncertainty shock in the Euro area. This allows us to treat macroeconomic uncertainty as a latent quantity during estimation. Only a limited number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978764
Using climate change as a prototype motivating example, this paper analyzes the implications of structural uncertainty for the economics of low-probability high-impact catastrophes. The paper shows that having an uncertain multiplicative parameter, which scales or amplifies exogenous shocks and...
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. A novel channel of risk sharing of volatility risks can explain our empirical findings …
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In this paper we: (i) provide a model of the endogenous risk intolerance and severe aggregate demand contractions … addressing these contractions. The key mechanism stems from heterogeneous risk tolerance: as a recessionary shock hits the … economy and brings down asset prices, risk-tolerant agents' wealth share declines and their leverage rises endogenously. This …
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, borrowing (risk-sharing) declines, and the sensitivity of consumption to income increases. Our model aggregates heterogeneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239980
classes such as corporate and sovereign bonds, derivatives, commodities, and currencies. Our intermediary capital risk factor … is strongly pro-cyclical, implying counter-cyclical intermediary leverage. The price of risk for intermediary capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000523