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Long memory, realized volatility and HAR models
Baillie, Richard; Calonaci, Fabio; Cho, Dooyeon; Rho, … - 2019
The presence of long memory in Realized Volatility (RV) is a widespread stylized fact. The origins of long memory in RV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964976
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The Predictive Ability of Several Models of Exchange Rate Volatility
West, Kenneth D.; Cho, Dongchul - 2021
We compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of univariate homoskedastic, GARCH, autoregressive and nonparametric models for conditional variances, using five bilateral weekly exchange rates for the dollar, 1973-1989. For a one week horizon, GARCH models tend to make slightly more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225431
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Answering the Critics : Yes, Arch Models Do Provide Good Volatility Forecasts
Andersen, Torben G. - 2008
Volatility permeates modern financial theories and decision making processes. As such, accurate measures and good … forecasts of future volatility are critical for the implementation and evaluation of asset pricing theories. In response to this …, a voluminous literature has emerged for modeling the temporal dependencies in financial market volatility at the daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774886
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Weak identification of long memory with implications for inference
Li, Jia; Phillips, Peter C. B.; Shi, Shuping; Yu, Jun - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013542193
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Conditional correlations and volatility spillovers between crude oil and stock index returns
Roengchai Tansuchat; Chang, Chia-Lin; McAleer, Michael - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008669344
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Semiparametric detection of changes in long range dependence
Iacone, Fabrizio; Lazarová, Stěpána - 2017
We consider changes in the degree of persistence of a process when the degree of persistence is characterized as the order of integration of a strongly dependent process. To avoid the risk of incorrectly specifing the data generating process we employ local Whittle estimates which uses only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756088
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Integrated ARCH, FIGARCH and AR models : origins of long memory
Giraitis, Liudas; Surgailis, Donatas; Škarnulis, Andrius - 2015
Although the properties of the ARCH(∞) model are well investigated, the existence of long memory FIGARCH and IARCH solution was not established in the literature. These two popular ARCH type models which are widely used in applied literature, were causing theoretical controversy because of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405303
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On the Relationship between the Conditional Mean and Volatility of Stock Returns : A Latent VAR Approach
Kang, Qiang - 2002
We model the conditional mean and volatility of stock returns as a latent vector autoregressive (VAR) process to study … although the conditional correlation between the mean and volatility is negative, the unconditional correlation is positive due …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787157
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On the economic determinants of oil production : theoretical analysis and empirical evidence for small exporting countries
Cologni, Alessandro; Manera, Matteo - 2011
In this paper, decisions regarding production in oil exporting countries are studied by means of theoretical analysis and empirical investigation. Under the assumptions of exogenous oil prices and world oil demand, we are able to describe the relationship between oil production levels and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009231652
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Is the Chinese currency substantially misaligned to warrant further appreciation?
Qin, Duo; He, Xinhua - 2010
This study provides quarterly time-series estimates of the misalignment in the REER of the Renminbi (RMB). The estimation is based on a commonly used economic approach, but with a wider and more up-to-date coverage of data and a more extensive use of econometric modelling techniques. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933930