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Liquidity and Expected Returns : Lessons from Emerging Markets

Bekaert, Geert - 2012

Given the cross-sectional and temporal variation in their liquidity, emerging equity markets provide an ideal setting … to examine the impact of liquidity on expected returns. Our main liquidity measure is a transformation of the proportion … of zero daily firm returns, averaged over the month. We find that our liquidity measures significantly predict future …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755671

Flights to safety

Baele, Lieven; Bekaert, Geert; Inghelbrecht, Koen; Wei, Min - 2012

Despite a large and growing theoretical literature on flights to safety, there does not appear to exist an empirical characterization of flight-to-safety (FTS) episodes. Using only data on bond and stock returns, we identify and characterize flight to safety episodes for 23 countries. On...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590578

The Electoral Consequences of Large Fiscal Adjustments

Alesina, Alberto F. - 2011

The conventional wisdom regarding the political consequences of large reductions of budget deficits is that they are very costly for the governments which implement them: they are punished by voters at the following elections. In the present paper, instead, we find no evidence that governments...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117557

The Design of Fiscal Adjustments

Alesina, Alberto F. - 2012

This paper offers three results. First, in line with the previous literature, we confirm that fiscal adjustments based mostly on the spending side are less likely to be reversed. Second, spending based fiscal adjustments have caused smaller recessions than tax based fiscal adjustments. Finally,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100133

Large Changes in Fiscal Policy : Taxes Versus Spending

Alesina, Alberto F. - 2010

We examine the evidence on episodes of large stances in fiscal policy, both in cases of fiscal stimuli and in that of fiscal adjustments in OECD countries from 1970 to 2007. Fiscal stimuli based upon tax cuts are more likely to increase growth than those based upon spending increases. As for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150446

The Political Economy of Government Debt

Alesina, Alberto F. - 2015

This paper critically reviews the literature which explains why and under which circumstances governments accumulate more debt than it would be consistent with optimal fiscal policy. We also discuss numerical rules or institutional designs which might lead to a moderation of these distortions

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009903

What Do We Know About the Effects of Austerity?

Alesina, Alberto F. - 2018

This paper summarizes the results of a large recent literature on multi year fiscal plans for deficit reduction (austerity). The key results are that deficit reduction policies based upon spending cuts are much less costly in terms of short run output losses than tax based adjustments. On...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929010

The Political Economy of the Budget Surplus in the U.S

Alesina, Alberto F. - 2021

Current surpluses in the U.S. have been achieved by a combination of a strong economy, low interest rates, and sharp cuts in defence spending. These surpluses follow a period (the eighties) of rather exceptional budget deficits. This paper investigates the origin, size, and expected future...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221939

Fiscal Expansions and Fiscal Adjustments in OECD Countries

Alesina, Alberto F.; Perotti, Roberto - 2021

This paper considers budget expansions and adjustments in OECD countries in the last three decades. Our main results are: i) on average fiscal expansions are the results of increases in expenditures, particularly of transfer programs, while contractions are typically due to tax increases; ii)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235877

Why is Fiscal Policy Often Procyclical?

Alesina, Alberto F.; Tabellini, Guido - 2021

Many countries, especially developing ones, follow procyclical fiscal polices, namely spending goes up (taxes go down) in booms and spending goes down (taxes go up) in recessions. We provide an explanation for this suboptimal fiscal policy based upon political distortions and incentives for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240582