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Hamermesh, Daniel S. - 2021

Using a wide array of examples from the literature and from original estimates, this essay examines the pitfalls that make good empirical research in labor economics as much art as science. Appropriateness and cleanliness of data are considered, as are problems of extreme observations and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312482

Liquidity and Expected Returns : Lessons from Emerging Markets

Bekaert, Geert - 2012

Given the cross-sectional and temporal variation in their liquidity, emerging equity markets provide an ideal setting … to examine the impact of liquidity on expected returns. Our main liquidity measure is a transformation of the proportion … of zero daily firm returns, averaged over the month. We find that our liquidity measures significantly predict future …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755671

Flights to safety

Baele, Lieven; Bekaert, Geert; Inghelbrecht, Koen; Wei, Min - 2012

Despite a large and growing theoretical literature on flights to safety, there does not appear to exist an empirical characterization of flight-to-safety (FTS) episodes. Using only data on bond and stock returns, we identify and characterize flight to safety episodes for 23 countries. On...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590578

Forecasting with a Bayesian DSGE model : an application to the euro area

Smets, Frank; Wouters, Rafael - 2004

In monetary policy strategies geared towards maintaining price stability conditional and unconditional forecasts of inflation and output play an important role. In this paper we illustrate how modern sticky-price dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, estimated using Bayesian...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003285769

An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the euro area

Smets, Frank; Wouters, Rafael - 2002

This paper develops and estimates a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with sticky prices and wages for the euro area. The model incorporates various other features such as habit formation, costs of adjustment in capital accumulation and variable capacity utilisation. It is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623232

Openness, imperfect exchange rate pass-through and monetary policy

Smets, Frank; Wouters, Rafael - 2002

This paper analyses the implications of imperfect exchange rate passthrough for optimal monetary policy in a linearised open-economy dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated to euro area data. Imperfect exchange rate pass through is modelled by assuming sticky import price behaviour. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623407

Shocks and frictions in US business cycles : a Bayesian DSGE approach

Smets, Frank; Wouters, Rafael - 2007

Using a Bayesian likelihood approach, we estimate a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for the US economy using seven macro-economic time series. The model incorporates many types of real and nominal frictions and seven types of structural shocks. We show that this model is able to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011618212

Inflation persistence and price-setting behaviour in the euro area : a summary of the Inflation Persistence Network evidence

Altissimo, Filippo; Ehrmann, Michael; Smets, Frank - 2006

This paper provides a summary of current knowledge on inflation persistence and price stickiness in the euro area, based on research findings that have been produced in the context of the Inflation Persistence Network. The main findings are: i) Under the current monetary policy regime, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622329

Plant Closings, Labor Demand and the Value of the Firm

Hamermesh, Daniel S. - 2021

This study postulates an internal labor market in which workers accumulate firm-specific human capital that raises the value of the firm and insulates it to some extent from the vagaries of product demand that might result in its closing. Negative product-market shocks reduce wage growth and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220010

Turnover and the Dynamics of Labor Demand

Hamermesh, Daniel S.; Pfann, Gerard A. - 2021

The theory of the dynamics of labor demand is based either on the costs of adjusting the level of employment or on the costs of hiring or firing (of gross changes in employment). We write down a generalized cost of adjustment function that includes both types of cost and allows for asymmetries...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221870