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Time Consistency and Free-Riding in a Monetary Union

Chari, Varadarajan V.; Kehoe, Patrick J. - 2021

We analyze the setting of monetary and nonmonetary policies in monetary unions. We show that in these unions a time inconsistency problem in monetary policy leads to a novel type of free- rider problem in the setting of nonmonetary policies, such as labor market policy, fiscal policy, and bank...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216840

Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy

Chari, Varadarajan V.; Kehoe, Patrick J. - 2021

We provide an introduction to optimal fiscal and monetary policy using the primal approach to optimal taxation. We use this approach to address how fiscal and monetary policy should be set over the long run and over the business cycle. We find four substantive lessons for policymaking: Capital...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230363

Liquidity and Expected Returns : Lessons from Emerging Markets

Bekaert, Geert - 2012

Given the cross-sectional and temporal variation in their liquidity, emerging equity markets provide an ideal setting … to examine the impact of liquidity on expected returns. Our main liquidity measure is a transformation of the proportion … of zero daily firm returns, averaged over the month. We find that our liquidity measures significantly predict future …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755671

Flights to safety

Baele, Lieven; Bekaert, Geert; Inghelbrecht, Koen; Wei, Min - 2012

Despite a large and growing theoretical literature on flights to safety, there does not appear to exist an empirical characterization of flight-to-safety (FTS) episodes. Using only data on bond and stock returns, we identify and characterize flight to safety episodes for 23 countries. On...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590578

Bailouts, Time Inconsistency, and Optimal Regulation

Chari, Varadarajan V.; Kehoe, Patrick J. - 2021

We develop a model in which, in order to provide managerial incentives, it is optimal to have costly bankruptcy. If benevolent governments can commit to their policies, it is optimal not to interfere with private contracts. Such policies are time inconsistent in the sense that, without...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311917

Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Business Cycle Model

Chari, Varadarajan V. - 2012

This paper develops the quantitative implications of optimal fiscal policy in a business cycle model. In a stationary equilibrium the ex ante tax rate on capital income is approximately zero. There is an equivalence class of ex post capital income tax rates and bond policies that support a given...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114944

On the Desirability of Fiscal Constraints in a Monetary Union

Chari, Varadarajan V.; Kehoe, Patrick J. - 2021

The desirability of fiscal constraints in monetary unions depends critically on whether the monetary authority can commit to follow its policies. If it can commit, then debt constraints can only impose costs. If it cannot commit, then fiscal policy has a free-rider problem, and debt constraints...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223181

Forecasting with a Bayesian DSGE model : an application to the euro area

Smets, Frank; Wouters, Rafael - 2004

In monetary policy strategies geared towards maintaining price stability conditional and unconditional forecasts of inflation and output play an important role. In this paper we illustrate how modern sticky-price dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, estimated using Bayesian...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003285769

Inflation persistence and price-setting behaviour in the euro area : a summary of the Inflation Persistence Network evidence

Altissimo, Filippo; Ehrmann, Michael; Smets, Frank - 2006

This paper provides a summary of current knowledge on inflation persistence and price stickiness in the euro area, based on research findings that have been produced in the context of the Inflation Persistence Network. The main findings are: i) Under the current monetary policy regime, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622329

An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the euro area

Smets, Frank; Wouters, Rafael - 2002

This paper develops and estimates a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with sticky prices and wages for the euro area. The model incorporates various other features such as habit formation, costs of adjustment in capital accumulation and variable capacity utilisation. It is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623232