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Crunch Time : Fiscal Crises and the Role of Monetary Policy

Greenlaw, David - 2013

Countries with high debt loads are vulnerable to an adverse feedback loop in which doubts by lenders lead to higher sovereign interest rates which in turn make the debt problems more severe. We analyze the recent experience of advanced economies using both econometric methods and case studies...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077956

Causes of the Korean Financial Crisis : Lessons for Policy

Hahm, Joon-Ho; Mishkin, Frederic S. - 2022

This paper uses an asymmetric information framework to understand the causes of the recent financial crisis in Korea. It shows that the Korean data is consistent with this explanation of the crisis. It then draws on this analysis to discuss several lessons that can help guide Korean policymakers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311629

Two Decades of Japanese Monetary Policy and the Deflation Problem

Ito, Takatoshi - 2012

of Japan's rhetoric was not helpful in fighting deflation, and the interest rate hike in August 2000 amid deflation was a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100365

Liquidity and Expected Returns : Lessons from Emerging Markets

Bekaert, Geert - 2012

Given the cross-sectional and temporal variation in their liquidity, emerging equity markets provide an ideal setting … to examine the impact of liquidity on expected returns. Our main liquidity measure is a transformation of the proportion … of zero daily firm returns, averaged over the month. We find that our liquidity measures significantly predict future …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755671

Flights to safety

Baele, Lieven; Bekaert, Geert; Inghelbrecht, Koen; Wei, Min - 2012

Despite a large and growing theoretical literature on flights to safety, there does not appear to exist an empirical characterization of flight-to-safety (FTS) episodes. Using only data on bond and stock returns, we identify and characterize flight to safety episodes for 23 countries. On...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590578

Financial Policies and the Prevention of Financial Crises in Emerging Market Countries

Mishkin, Frederic S. - 2021

This paper outlines a set of financial policies that can help make financial crises less likely in emerging market countries. To justify these policies, the paper first explains what a financial crisis is, the factors that promote a financial crisis and the dynamics of a financial crisis. It...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248397

Forecasting with a Bayesian DSGE model : an application to the euro area

Smets, Frank; Wouters, Rafael - 2004

In monetary policy strategies geared towards maintaining price stability conditional and unconditional forecasts of inflation and output play an important role. In this paper we illustrate how modern sticky-price dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, estimated using Bayesian...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003285769

Inflation persistence and price-setting behaviour in the euro area : a summary of the Inflation Persistence Network evidence

Altissimo, Filippo; Ehrmann, Michael; Smets, Frank - 2006

This paper provides a summary of current knowledge on inflation persistence and price stickiness in the euro area, based on research findings that have been produced in the context of the Inflation Persistence Network. The main findings are: i) Under the current monetary policy regime, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622329

An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the euro area

Smets, Frank; Wouters, Rafael - 2002

This paper develops and estimates a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with sticky prices and wages for the euro area. The model incorporates various other features such as habit formation, costs of adjustment in capital accumulation and variable capacity utilisation. It is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623232

Openness, imperfect exchange rate pass-through and monetary policy

Smets, Frank; Wouters, Rafael - 2002

This paper analyses the implications of imperfect exchange rate passthrough for optimal monetary policy in a linearised open-economy dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated to euro area data. Imperfect exchange rate pass through is modelled by assuming sticky import price behaviour. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623407