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Investors in option markets price in a substantial collective government bailout guarantee in the financial sector, which puts a floor on the equity value of the financial sector as a whole, but not on the value of the individual firms. The guarantee makes put options on the financial sector...
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distribution of the index return is estimated from time-series data. Substantial violations by post-crash OTM calls contradict the …-2006 which may be due to the lower quality of the data but, in any case, does not provide evidence that the options market is …
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We model the demand-pressure effect on prices when options cannot be perfectly hedged. The model shows that demand pressure in one option contract increases its price by an amount proportional to the variance of the unhedgeable part of the option. Similarly, the demand pressure increases the...
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-the-money puts, thereby steepening the implied volatility skew and resolving the puzzle. Consistent with the data, the model also … implies that the equilibrium net buy of puts is decreasing in the disaster index, variance, and their price. The data shows a …
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The optimal portfolio of a utility-maximizing investor trading in the S&P 500 index and cash, subject to proportional transaction costs, becomes stochastically dominated when overlaid with a zero-net-cost portfolio of S&P 500 options bought at their ask and written at their bid price in most...
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This paper applies the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) to make rolling 1-minute-ahead return forecasts using the entire cross section of lagged returns as candidate predictors. The LASSO increases both out-of-sample fit and forecast-implied Sharpe ratios. And, this...
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