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Self-Oriented Monetary Policy, Global Financial Markets and Excess Volatility of International Capital Flows

Banerjee, Ryan - 2015

This paper explores the nature of macroeconomic spillovers from advanced economies to emerging market economies (EMEs) and the consequences for independent use of monetary policy in EMEs. We first empirically document the effects of US monetary policy shocks on a sample group of EMEs. A...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011458

America First? : a US-centric view of global capital flows

McQuade, Peter; Schmitz, Martin - 2019

with those of the rest of the world. We analyse the relative importance of US, country-specific, and global variables as …. Global and national risk indicators perform better in explaining "rest of the world" flows. Moreover, we find that the … correlation between US and rest of the world flows peaks in periods of elevated uncertainty. We interpret our findings as evidence …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975553

Dilemma Not Trilemma : The Global Financial Cycle and Monetary Policy Independence

Rey, Hélène - 2015

There is a global financial cycle in capital flows, asset prices and in credit growth. This cycle co‐moves with the VIX, a measure of uncertainty and risk aversion of the markets. Asset markets in countries with more credit inflows are more sensitive to the global cycle. The global financial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022603

Negative rates, monetary policy transmission and cross-border lending via international financial centres

Andreeva, Desislava Č.; Coman, Andra; Everett, Mary; … - 2023

We study the effects of negative interest rate policies (NIRP) on the transmission of monetary policy through cross-border lending. Using bank-level data from international financial centres - the United Kingdom, Hong Kong and Ireland - we examine how NIRP in the economies where banks have their...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013547998

International capital flows at the security level : evidence from the ECB's Asset Purchase Programme

Bergant, Katharina; Fidora, Michael; Schmitz, Martin - 2020

We analyse euro area investors' portfolio rebalancing during the ECB's Asset Purchase Pro- gramme at the security level. Based on net transactions of domestic and foreign securities, we observe euro area sectors' capital ows into individual securities, cleaned from valuation effects. Our...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197845

The global capital flows cycle : structural drivers and transmission channels

Habib, Maurizio Michael; Venditti, Fabrizio - 2019

In this paper, we study the effects of structural shocks that influence global risk - the main factor behind a "global capital flows cycle" - and how risk, in turn, is transmitted to capital flows. Our results show that not all the risk shocks driving the global financial cycle have the same...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009141

The fundamentals of safe assets

Habib, Maurizio Michael; Stracca, Livio; Venditti, Fabrizio - 2020

We study what makes government bonds a safe asset. Building on a sample of monthly changes in government bond yields in 40 advanced and emerging countries, we analyse the sensitivity of yields to country specific fundamentals interacted with changes in global risk (VIX). We find that inertia...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138612

Henriksen, Espen - 2009

Cyclical fluctuations in nominal variables--aggregate price levels and nominal interest rates--are documented to be substantially more synchronized across countries than cyclical fluctuations in real output. A transparent mechanism that can account for this striking feature of the nominal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158041

Trade, Exchange Rate Regimes and Output Co-Movement : Evidence from the Great Depression

Mathy, Gabriel P. - 2011

A large body of cross-country empirical evidence identifies monetary policy and trade integration as key determinants of business cycle co-movement. Partially consistent with this, many argue that the re-emergence of the gold standard allowed for the global transmission of a deflationary shock...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127427

Tracking global economic uncertainty : implications for the euro area

Bobasu, Alina; Geis, André; Quaglietti, Lucia; Ricci, … - 2021

This paper sheds light on the impact of global macroeconomic uncertainty on the euro area economy. We build on the methodology proposed by Jurado et al. (2015) and estimate global as well as country-specific measures of economic uncertainty for fifteen key euro area trade partners and the euro...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503567

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