Showing 1 - 10 of 25
This paper places current efforts at international economic policy coordination in historical perspective. It argues that successful cooperation is most likely in four sets of circumstances. First, when it centers on technical issues. Second, when cooperation is institutionalized - when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091942
Alexander Swoboda is one of the originators of the bipolar view that capital mobility creates pressure for countries to abandon intermediate exchange rate arrangements in favor of greater flexibility and harder pegs. This paper takes another look at the evidence for this hypothesis using two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759200
In this paper we reconsider the international market integration, starting at high levels in the late nineteenth century, collapsing between the wars, and recovering gradually after 1945 to reach levels comparable to pre-1914 in the 1990's. The empirical evidence we survey suggests that in some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225815
, with the spread of globalization, there is a new periphery, Asia, but the same old core, the United States, with the same … interest. This image of the current system as Bretton Woods reborn also overlooks how the world has changed since the 1960s … resembling the Bretton Woods System, it is not long for this world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243400
In this paper I use a large multi-country data set to analyze the determinants of abrupt and large %u201Ccurrent account reversals.%u201D The results from a variance-component probit model indicate that the probability of experiencing a major current account reversal is positively affected by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761662
This paper investigates the theory and evidence that history plays a role in shaping the direction of international trade. Because there are reasons to anticipate a positive correlation between the predominant direction of trade flows in the past and membership in preferential arrangements in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212584
In this paper I use a cross country data set to analyze the relationship between trade orientation, trade distortions and growth. I first develop a simple endogenous growth model that emphasizes the process of technological absorption in small developing countries. According to this model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138665
We analyze the impact of China's growth on the exports of other Asian countries. Our innovation is to distinguish the increase in China's demand for imports from its increased penetration of export markets. Using the gravity model, we disaggregate among commodity types and account for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225046
This paper uses three models of a small open economy to analyze the effects of terms of trade and exchange rate changes (i.e. devaluations) on labor market adjustment. First, a three goods (exportables, importables, non-tradables), four factors model is developed and used to investigate how an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234385
realignment of world growth rates -- with Japan and Europe growing faster, and the U.S. growing more slowly -- is likely to solve … resolution of global imbalances. This means that, even if there is a realignment of global growth, the world is likely to need …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777651