Showing 1 - 10 of 46
Continental trade blocs are emerging in many parts of the world almost in tandem. If trade blocs are required to … reduction of trade barriers against non-member countries. That may not be politically feasible. On the other hand, in a world of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225933
Despite the major advances in information technology that have shaped the recent wave of globalization, openness to trade is still a political choice, and trade policy can change with shifts in domestic political equilibria. This paper suggests that a particular threat and a limiting factor to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148385
Openness to trade is one factor that has been identified as determining whether a country is prone to sudden stops in capital inflow, currency crashes, or severe recessions. Some believe that openness raises vulnerability to foreign shocks, while others believe that it makes adjustment to crises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311905
understood. In this paper, we explore the contribution of the swift rise of import competition from China to sluggish U ….S. employment growth. We find that the increase in U.S. imports from China, which accelerated after 2000, was a major force behind … import competition from China over the period 1999 to 2011. The estimated employment effects are larger in magnitude at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048616
The paper studies forecasts of real growth rates and budget balances made by official government agencies among 33 countries. In general, the forecasts are found: (i) to have a positive average bias, (ii) to be more biased in booms, (iii) to be even more biased at the 3-year horizon than at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122217
determinants of the shares of major currencies in the reserve holdings of the world's central banks. Significant factors include … euro might in the future rival or surpass the dollar as the world's leading international reserve currency appears to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105149
Following on Keynes's Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren, this paper develops conjectures about the world we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107770
), across countries, one budget period at a time. Under the two-part plan: (i) China, India, and other developing countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091941
In this paper we revisit the relationship between democracy, redistribution and inequality. We first explain the theoretical reasons why democracy is expected to increase redistribution and reduce inequality, and why this expectation may fail to be realized when democracy is captured by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071520