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In a model where a variable Y[sub t] is proportional to the present value, with constant discount rate, of expected future values of a variable y[sub t] the quot;spreadquot; S[sub t]= Y[sub t] - [theta sub t] will be stationary for some [theta] whether or not y[sub t]must be differenced to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763269
We examine the pricing of aggregate volatility risk in the cross-section of stock returns. Consistent with theory, we … find that stocks with high sensitivities to innovations in aggregate volatility have low average returns. In addition, we … find that stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility relative to the Fama and French (1993) model have abysmally low average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762558
This paper explores the effect of equity volatility on corporate bond yields. Panel data for the late 1990's show that … idiosyncratic firm-level volatility can explain as much cross-sectional variation in yields as can credit ratings. This finding …, together with the upward trend in idiosyncratic equity volatility documented by Campbell, Lettau, Malkiel, and Xu (2001), helps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763016
This paper uses a disaggregated approach to study the volatility of common stocks at the market, industry, and firm … levels. Over the period 1962-97 there has been a noticeable increase in firm-level volatility relative to market volatility …, while the number of stocks needed to achieve a given level of diversification has increased. All the volatility measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763341
It is sometimes argued that an increase in stock market volatility raises required stock returns, and thus lowers stock … for this volatility feedback effect. The resulting model is asymmetric, because volatility feedback amplifies large … for large crashes. The model also implies that volatility feedback is more important when volatility is high. In U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767711
volatility over the next month, but with decreasing realized volatility. These predictability patterns are consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073570
mean and volatility of aggregate consumption growth, by a representative agent with a high elasticity of intertemporal … increasing the persistence of volatility fluctuations and their impact on stock prices. This calibration fits the predictive … power of stock prices for future consumption volatility, but implies much greater predictive power of stock prices for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225971
We ask whether stock returns in France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are predictable by three instruments: the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763174