of US-China bilateral retaliation on trade flows and welfare. One is a conventional Armington trade model with five … regions, the US, China, EU, Japan and Rest of the World, and calibrated to a global 2009 micro consistent data set. The other … is a modified version of this model with monetary non neutrals and including China's trade surplus as an endogenous …

. Exploiting the exogenous component of rising trade with China and classifying legislator ideologies by congressional voting …

market data. By estimating the effect of U.S.-China tariff announcements on aggregate returns and the differential returns of … firms exposed to China, we identify their effect on treated and untreated firms. We show theoretically and empirically that …