of US-China bilateral retaliation on trade flows and welfare. One is a conventional Armington trade model with five … regions, the US, China, EU, Japan and Rest of the World, and calibrated to a global 2009 micro consistent data set. The other … is a modified version of this model with monetary non neutrals and including China's trade surplus as an endogenous …

. Exploiting the exogenous component of rising trade with China and classifying legislator ideologies by congressional voting …