Showing 1 - 10 of 20
We show that volatility movements have first-order implications for consumption dynamics and asset prices. Volatility … news affects the stochastic discount factor and carries a separate risk premium. In the data, volatility risks are … aggregate wealth and the cross-sectional differences in risk premia. Estimation of our volatility risks based model yields an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106078
financial markets such as the size of the equity premium and the volatility of the stock market. In one model, the long run … significance levels, and they can track quite closely a new measure of realized annual volatility. Further scrutiny using a rich …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776940
This paper uses a disaggregated approach to study the volatility of common stocks at the market, industry, and firm … levels. Over the period 1962-97 there has been a noticeable increase in firm-level volatility relative to market volatility …, while the number of stocks needed to achieve a given level of diversification has increased. All the volatility measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763341
We investigate a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend growth make an important contribution to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012750749
In this paper we show that measures of economic uncertainty (conditional volatility of consumption) predict and are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762886
prices, including the equity premia, risk-free rate and volatility puzzles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101822
The downside risk CAPM (DR-CAPM) can price the cross section of currency returns. The market-beta differential between … performance of the model. The DR-CAPM can jointly rationalize the cross section of equity, equity index options, commodity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085923
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784914
This paper proposes a dynamic risk-based model capable of jointly explaining the term structure of interest rates, returns on the aggregate market and the risk and return characteristics of value and growth stocks. Both the term structure of interest rates and returns on value and growth stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757917
We study the role of information in asset pricing models with long-run cash flow risk. When investors can distinguish short- from long-run consumption risks (full information), the model generates a sizable equity risk premium only if the equity term structure slopes up, contrary to the data. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755422