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Liquidity and Expected Returns : Lessons from Emerging Markets

Bekaert, Geert - 2012

Given the cross-sectional and temporal variation in their liquidity, emerging equity markets provide an ideal setting … to examine the impact of liquidity on expected returns. Our main liquidity measure is a transformation of the proportion … of zero daily firm returns, averaged over the month. We find that our liquidity measures significantly predict future …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755671

Risk, Uncertainty and Monetary Policy

Bekaert, Geert - 2010

The VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, strongly co-moves with measures of the monetary policy stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility ("uncertainty"), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137030

Macroeconomic Regimes

Baele, Lieven - 2011

We estimate a New-Keynesian macro model accommodating regime-switching behavior in monetary policy and in macro shocks. Key to our estimation strategy is the use of survey-based expectations for inflation and output. We identify accommodating monetary policy before 1980, with activist monetary...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124545

Inflation and the Stock Market : Understanding the "Fed Model"

Bekaert, Geert - 2010

The Fed model postulates that the dividend or earnings yield on stocks should equal the yield on nominal Treasury bonds, or at least that the two should be highly correlated. In US data, there is indeed a strikingly high time series correlation between the yield on nominal bonds and the dividend...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152599

Flights to Safety

Baele, Lieven - 2013

quality and liquidity in international equity markets, but mainly a flight-to-quality in the US corporate bond market …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081241

Stock Return Predictability : Is it There?

Bekaert, Geert - 2010

We ask whether stock returns in France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are predictable by three instruments: the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763174

Characterizing Predictable Components in Excess Returns on Equity and Foreign Exchange Markets

Bekaert, Geert - 2009

The paper characterizes predictable components in excess rates of returns on major equity and foreign exchange markets using lagged excess returns, dividend yields, and forward premiums as instruments. Vector autoregressive techniques demonstrate one-step-ahead predictability and provide implied...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767709

The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models

Bekaert, Geert; Engstrom, Eric; Ermolov, Andrey - 2022

The equity variance risk premium is the expected compensation earned for selling variance risk in equity markets. The variance risk premium is positive and shows moderate persistence. High variance risk premiums coincide with the left tail of the consumption growth distribution shifting down....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307734