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This paper compares the recent global crisis and recession to earlier international financial crises and recessions. Based on existing chronologies of banking, currency and debt crises we identify clusters of crises. We use an identification of extreme events and a weighting scheme based on real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135243
Do external imbalances increase the risk of financial crises? In this paper, we study the experience of 14 developed countries over 140 years (1870-2008). We exploit our long-run dataset in a number of different ways. First, we apply new statistical tools to describe the temporal and spatial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135415
In this paper, we show that the monetary rule followed by a number of key countries, especially England and to a lesser extent the U. S., before 1914 represented a commitment technology preventing the monetary authorities from changing planned future policy. The experiences of these major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138167
This report, prepared for the Committee on Economic Statistics of the American Economic Association, examines the state of available data for the study of international trade and foreign direct investment. Data on values of imports and exports of goods are of high quality and coverage, but price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139521
Long-run cross-country price data exhibit a puzzle. Today, richer countries exhibit higher price levels than poorer countries, a stylized fact usually attributed to the Balassa- Samuelson' effect. But looking back fifty years, or more, this effect virtually disappears from the data. What is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114711
We discuss three well known plans that were offered in the twentieth century to provide an artificial replacement for gold and key currencies as international reserves: Keynes' Bancor, the SDR and the Ecu( predecessor to the euro).The latter two of these reserve substitutes were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119771
trade reinforced each other before 1930, but that these effects did not persist after the Second World War. Financial … after 1945. We attribute the rising importance of trade in explaining growth to major post-World War II changes in tariffs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125572
In broad perspective, there have been essentially two competing views of the global financial crisis, albeit there are some complementarities among them. One view looks across the border: it mainly blames external imbalances, the large-scale mix of unprecedented pattern current account deficits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096849
Foreign-exchange operations did not end after the United States stopped its activist approach to intervention. Japan persisted in such operations, but avoided overt conflict with its monetary policy. With the on-set of the Great Recession, Switzerland has transacted in foreign exchange both for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107971
, nationalism, fascism and communism and two world wars …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082163