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Monetary Policy and Asset Prices : A Look Back at Past U.S. Stock Market Booms

Bordo, Michael D. - 2011

This paper examines the economic environments in which past U.S. stock market booms occurred as a first step toward understanding how asset price booms come about and whether monetary policy should be used to defuse booms. We identify several episodes of sustained rapid rise in equity prices in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127756

U.S. Foreign-Exchange-Market Intervention and the Early Dollar Float : 1973 - 1981

Bordo, Michael D. - 2011

The dollar's depreciation during the early floating rate period, 1973 - 1981, was a symptom of the Great Inflation. In that environment, sterilized foreign exchange interventions were ineffective in halting the dollar's decline, but showed a limited ability to smooth dollar movements. Only after...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131970

U.S. Foreign-Exchange-Market Intervention During the Volcker-Greenspan Era

Bordo, Michael D. - 2010

The Federal Reserve abandoned foreign-exchange-market intervention because it conflicted with the System's commitment to price stability. By the early 1980s, economists generally concluded that, absent a portfolio-balance channel, sterilized foreign-exchange-market intervention did not provide...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138323

The Imbalances of the Bretton Woods System 1965 to 1973 : U.S. Inflation, the Elephant in the Room

Bordo, Michael D. - 2018

This paper argues that the key deep underlying fundamental for the growing international imbalances leading to the collapse of the Bretton Woods system between 1971 and 1973 was rising U.S. inflation since 1965. It was driven in turn by expansionary fiscal and monetary policies—the elephant in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906267

Money Matters : Broad Divisia Money and the Recovery of Nominal GDP from the Covid-19 Recession

Bordo, Michael D.; Duca, John V. - 2023

The rise of inflation in 2021 and 2022 surprised many macroeconomists who ignored the earlier surge in money growth because past instability in the demand for simple-sum monetary aggregates had made these aggregates unreliable indicators. We find that the demand for more theoretically-based...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346628

Central Bank Credibility, Reputation and Inflation Targeting in Historical Perspective

Bordo, Michael D. - 2014

This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043621

Rules, Discretion, and Central Bank Independence : The German Experience 1880-1989

eschweiler, Bernard; Bordo, Michael D. - 2021

best. Monetary policy in Germany during the past one hundred years provides an excellent case to assess the empirical … authority in 1876, Germany has participated in four monetary regimes: the pre-war gold standard, the inter-war gold standard … in Germany was always geared toward maintaining price stability with the exception of the two world war periods. Germany …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224864

Violations of the `Rules of the Game' and the Credibility of the Classical Gold Standard, 1880-1914

Bordo, Michael D.; MacDonald, Ronald - 2021

This paper examines the recently noted finding that the Classical gold standard represented a credible, well-behaved target zone system from the perspective of the well-documented failure of countries to play by the rules of the game in the classical period. In particular, we test an hypothesis...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239352

Central Banks : Evolution and Innovation in Historical Perspective

Bordo, Michael D. - 2017

Central banks have evolved for close to four centuries. This paper argues that for two centuries central banks caught up to the strategies followed by the leading central banks of the era; the Bank of England in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries and the Federal Reserve in the twentieth...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947026

The Inter-War Gold Exchange Standard : Credibility and Monetary Independence

Bordo, Michael D.; MacDonald, Ronald - 2022

In this paper we analyze the operation of the inter-war gold exchange standard to see if the evident credibility of the system conferred on participating central banks the ability to pursue independent monetary policies. To answer this question we econometrically analyze two key parity, or...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308600