Showing 1 - 10 of 10
This paper analyzes the role of transparency and credibility in accounting for the widely divergent macroeconomic effects of three episodes of deliberate monetary contraction: the post-Civil War deflation, the post-WWI deflation, and the Volcker disinflation. Using a dynamic general equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777317
This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043621
best. Monetary policy in Germany during the past one hundred years provides an excellent case to assess the empirical … authority in 1876, Germany has participated in four monetary regimes: the pre-war gold standard, the inter-war gold standard … in Germany was always geared toward maintaining price stability with the exception of the two world war periods. Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224864
This paper examines the recently noted finding that the Classical gold standard represented a credible, well-behaved target zone system from the perspective of the well-documented failure of countries to play by the rules of the game in the classical period. In particular, we test an hypothesis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239352
Central banks have evolved for close to four centuries. This paper argues that for two centuries central banks caught up to the strategies followed by the leading central banks of the era; the Bank of England in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries and the Federal Reserve in the twentieth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947026
In this paper we analyze the operation of the inter-war gold exchange standard to see if the evident credibility of the system conferred on participating central banks the ability to pursue independent monetary policies. To answer this question we econometrically analyze two key parity, or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308600
In this paper we provide empirical measures of central bank credibility and augment these with historical narratives from eleven countries. To the extent we are able to apply reliable institutional information we can also indirectly assess their role in influencing the credibility of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030622
The recent consensus view, that the gold standard was the leading cause of the worldwide Great Depression 1929-33, stems from two propositions: (1) Under the gold standard, deflationary shocks were transmitted between countries and, (2) for most countries, continued adherence to gold prevented...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222903
Interconnections between banking crises and fiscal crises have a long history. We document the long-run evolution from classic banking panics towards modern banking crises where financial guarantees are associated with crisis resolution. Recent crises feature a feedback loop between bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997361
-LM to encompass both the quantity theory and the income-expenditure theory. Friedman attributed the failure of this effort …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308345