Showing 1 - 10 of 12
1996 to 2011 period using exchange rate spot, forward, and option data, we obtain a real-time index of world disaster risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152552
We study the output costs of 40 systemic banking crises since 1980. Most, but not all, crises in our sample coincide with a sharp contraction in output from which it took several years to recover. Our main findings are as follows. First, the current financial crisis is unlike any others in terms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150838
This paper offers a quot;panoramicquot; analysis of the history of financial crises dating from England's fourteenth-century default to the current United States sub-prime financial crisis. Our study is based on a new dataset that spans all regions. It incorporates a number of important credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772366
We present a new empirical decomposition of the effects of financial liberalization on economic growth and on the incidence of crises. Our empirical estimates show that the direct effect of financial liberalization on growth by far outweighs the indirect effect via a higher propensity to crisis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760479
analysis is on three related hypotheses tested with both "world" aggregate levels and on an individual country basis. First …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147119
We examine the evolution of real per capita GDP around 100 systemic banking crises. Part of the costs of these crises owes to the protracted nature of recovery. On average, it takes about eight years to reach the pre-crisis level of income; the median is about 6 1⁄2 years. Five to six years...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060679
This paper asks how recent developments in research on banking and sovereign lending can help inform the debate on choosing a new international financial architecture. A broad range of plans is considered, including a global lender of last resort facility, an international bankruptcy court, an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322108
In this paper, we document the fact that countries that have experienced occasional financial crises have, on average, grown faster than countries with stable financial conditions. We measure the incidence of crisis with the skewness of credit growth, and find that it has a robust negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324629
Transparency is one of the biggest innovations in central bank policy of the past quarter century. Modern central bankers believe that they should be as clear about their objectives and actions as possible. However, is greater transparency always beneficial? Recent work suggests that when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095553
This paper investigates the use of trimmed means as high-frequency estimators of" inflation. The known characteristics of price change distributions, specifically the observation" that they generally exhibit high levels of kurtosis, imply that simple averages of price data are" unlikely to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226558