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Financial Crises, Credit Booms, and External Imbalances : 140 Years of Lessons

Jorda, Oscar - 2010

Do external imbalances increase the risk of financial crises? In this paper, we study the experience of 14 developed countries over 140 years (1870-2008). We exploit our long-run dataset in a number of different ways. First, we apply new statistical tools to describe the temporal and spatial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135415

Report on the State of Available Data for the Study of International Trade and Foreign Direct Investment

Feenstra, Robert C. - 2010

This report, prepared for the Committee on Economic Statistics of the American Economic Association, examines the state of available data for the study of international trade and foreign direct investment. Data on values of imports and exports of goods are of high quality and coverage, but price...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139521

Productivity, Tradability, and the Long-Run Price Puzzle

Bergin, Paul R. - 2012

Long-run cross-country price data exhibit a puzzle. Today, richer countries exhibit higher price levels than poorer countries, a stylized fact usually attributed to the Balassa- Samuelson' effect. But looking back fifty years, or more, this effect virtually disappears from the data. What is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114711

External Imbalances and Financial Crises

Taylor, Alan M. - 2012

In broad perspective, there have been essentially two competing views of the global financial crisis, albeit there are some complementarities among them. One view looks across the border: it mainly blames external imbalances, the large-scale mix of unprecedented pattern current account deficits...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096849

Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Reserve Currency?

Chinn, Menzie David - 2012

determinants of the shares of major currencies in the reserve holdings of the world's central banks. Significant factors include … euro might in the future rival or surpass the dollar as the world's leading international reserve currency appears to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105149

The Future of International Liquidity and the Role of China

Taylor, Alan M. - 2013

and its possible ascension to reserve currency status. In an unstable and financially integrated world, governments …' precautionary demand for reserve assets is likely to increase. But the world then risks a third crisis of the global reserve system …, another re-run of the Triffin paradox, with an ever-growing emerging-world insurance demand loaded onto a small group of ever …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087068

International Prices and Endogenous Quality

Feenstra, Robert C. - 2013

will be incorporated into the next generation of the Penn World Table …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090428

A Forensic Analysis of Global Imbalances

Chinn, Menzie David - 2013

We examine whether the behavior of current account balances changed in the years preceding the global crisis of 2008-09, and assess the prospects for global imbalances in the post-crisis period. Changes in the budget balance are an important factor affecting current account balances for deficit...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092289

"Convergence in the Age of Mass Migration"

Taylor, Alan M. - 2013

Between 1870 and 1913, economic convergence among present OECD members (or even a wider sample of countries) was dramatic, about as dramatic as it has been over the past century and a half. The convergence can be documented in GDP per worker-hour, GDP per capita and in real wages. What were the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093434

The Time for Austerity : Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy

Jordà, Òscar - 2013

After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty of identifying multipliers from observational data. This paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076565