Showing 1 - 10 of 45
Continental trade blocs are emerging in many parts of the world almost in tandem. If trade blocs are required to … reduction of trade barriers against non-member countries. That may not be politically feasible. On the other hand, in a world of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225933
Openness to trade is one factor that has been identified as determining whether a country is prone to sudden stops in capital inflow, currency crashes, or severe recessions. Some believe that openness raises vulnerability to foreign shocks, while others believe that it makes adjustment to crises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311905
exchange rate - but the relationships are not always precisely or robustly estimated. Chinese exports are generally well … the fact a substantial share of imports are subsequently incorporated into Chinese exports. We find that some of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109870
predicted by estimates based upon a cross-country sample, when using the 2006 vintage of the World Development Indicators. The … rise in response to a RMB depreciation; however, Chinese exports appear to respond to RMB depreciation in the expected … manufacturing capital stock is accounted for. Thus, the China-US trade balance should respond to real exchange rate and relative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757953
This paper examines the stability of import and export demand functions for the United States over the 1975q1-2001q2 … period. Using the Johansen maximum likelihood approach, an export demand function is readily identified. In contrast, there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220385
The paper studies forecasts of real growth rates and budget balances made by official government agencies among 33 countries. In general, the forecasts are found: (i) to have a positive average bias, (ii) to be more biased in booms, (iii) to be even more biased at the 3-year horizon than at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122217
determinants of the shares of major currencies in the reserve holdings of the world's central banks. Significant factors include … euro might in the future rival or surpass the dollar as the world's leading international reserve currency appears to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105149
), across countries, one budget period at a time. Under the two-part plan: (i) China, India, and other developing countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091941
reduction. For China, financial development might help shrink its current account surplus, but only when it is coupled with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092289