Showing 1 - 10 of 30
and forecasting. Building on the theory of continuous-time arbitrage-free price processes and the theory of quadratic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787458
-specific factors. In an empirical analysis of term structures of government bond yields for the Germany, Japan, the U.K. and the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759705
We characterize the response of U.S., German and British stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to real-time U.S. macroeconomic news. Our analysis is based on a unique data set of high-frequency futures returns for each of the markets. We find that news surprises produce conditional mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767561
This paper deals with the labor market entrance of young people in the Federal Republic" of Germany. The main focus is … on failures during this stage. First, an overview of the youth" labor market in Germany is given. Then, the transition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222219
The evolution of unemployment in West Germany and the U. S. stands in sharp contrast, with German unemployment much … big difference berween the two countries is that there is no feedback from wages to prices in Germany, and so high … unemployment does not put downward pressure on the inflation rate. During the 19705 and 19805 in Germany there emerged a growing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237265
We provide a framework for evaluating and improving multivariate density forecasts. Among other things, the multivariate framework lets us evaluate the adequacy of density forecasts involving cross-variable interactions, such as time-varying conditional correlations. We also provide conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239958
This paper presents a theoretical model dealing with the duration of youth unemployment in West Germany. Duration can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249173
This study examines the determinants of the reservation wage of unemployed persons in the Federal Republic of Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249255
volatility estimation. In particular, we use market microstructure theory to derive the cross-correlation function between latent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137011
We provide a new and superior measure of U.S. GDP, obtained by applying optimal signal-extraction techniques to the (noisy) expenditure-side and income-side estimates. Its properties - particularly as regards serial correlation - differ markedly from those of the standard expenditure-side...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083397