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Do external imbalances increase the risk of financial crises? In this paper, we study the experience of 14 developed countries over 140 years (1870-2008). We exploit our long-run dataset in a number of different ways. First, we apply new statistical tools to describe the temporal and spatial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135415
This report, prepared for the Committee on Economic Statistics of the American Economic Association, examines the state of available data for the study of international trade and foreign direct investment. Data on values of imports and exports of goods are of high quality and coverage, but price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139521
Long-run cross-country price data exhibit a puzzle. Today, richer countries exhibit higher price levels than poorer countries, a stylized fact usually attributed to the Balassa- Samuelson' effect. But looking back fifty years, or more, this effect virtually disappears from the data. What is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114711
This paper argues that if policymakers seek to enhance global liquidity, then the international community must provide a higher and better coordinated level of fiscal support than it has in the past. Loans to troubled sovereigns or financial institutions imply a credit risk that ultimately must...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120324
A key precursor of twentieth-century financial crises in emerging and advanced economies alike was the rapid buildup of leverage. Those emerging economies that avoided leverage booms during the 2000s also were most likely to avoid the worst effects of the twenty-first century's first global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121927
In broad perspective, there have been essentially two competing views of the global financial crisis, albeit there are some complementarities among them. One view looks across the border: it mainly blames external imbalances, the large-scale mix of unprecedented pattern current account deficits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096849
and its possible ascension to reserve currency status. In an unstable and financially integrated world, governments …' precautionary demand for reserve assets is likely to increase. But the world then risks a third crisis of the global reserve system …, another re-run of the Triffin paradox, with an ever-growing emerging-world insurance demand loaded onto a small group of ever …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087068
will be incorporated into the next generation of the Penn World Table …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090428
system: international liquidity and exchange rate management. Despite radical changes since World War II in the market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092069
Between 1870 and 1913, economic convergence among present OECD members (or even a wider sample of countries) was dramatic, about as dramatic as it has been over the past century and a half. The convergence can be documented in GDP per worker-hour, GDP per capita and in real wages. What were the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093434