Showing 1 - 10 of 49
Continental trade blocs are emerging in many parts of the world almost in tandem. If trade blocs are required to … reduction of trade barriers against non-member countries. That may not be politically feasible. On the other hand, in a world of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225933
Openness to trade is one factor that has been identified as determining whether a country is prone to sudden stops in capital inflow, currency crashes, or severe recessions. Some believe that openness raises vulnerability to foreign shocks, while others believe that it makes adjustment to crises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311905
Japanese exports between 1880 and 1910 increased massively in volume, changed composition, and shifted away from … new disaggregated data set of the bilateral-product level exports for the universe of Japanese trade partners, we find … that changes in various extensive margins (new markets, new goods) account for over 30 percent of export growth over this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954913
A large literature has documented an association between economic growth and export diversification. We study this … of textile products in large quantities. There is a decrease in specialization from 1860 to World War I along the lines … advantage. The decline of export concentration is associated with a chronic deficit in the balance of trade during the Belle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010716
in intra-industry trade. On average, rising imports did not prejudice exports. Liberalization allowed for an expansion of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909122
-slump macroeconomic cycles. During both crises, world trade collapsed faster than world incomes and the trade decline was highly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133067
The paper studies forecasts of real growth rates and budget balances made by official government agencies among 33 countries. In general, the forecasts are found: (i) to have a positive average bias, (ii) to be more biased in booms, (iii) to be even more biased at the 3-year horizon than at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122217
determinants of the shares of major currencies in the reserve holdings of the world's central banks. Significant factors include … euro might in the future rival or surpass the dollar as the world's leading international reserve currency appears to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105149
The US advantage in per capita output, apparent from the late 19th century, is frequently attributed to its relatively large domestic market. We construct market potential measures for the US and 26 other countries between 1880 and 1913 based on a general equilibrium model of production and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086325
The classical gold standard period, 1880-1913, witnessed deep economic integration. High capital imports were related to better growth performance but may also have created greater volatility via financial crises. I first document the substantial output losses from various types of crises. I...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086667