Similar Search Results

De Facto Fiscal Space and Fiscal Stimulus : Definition and Assessment

Aizenman, Joshua - 2010

We define the notion of a 'de facto fiscal space' of a country as the inverse of the tax-years it would take to repay the public debt. Specifically, we measure the outstanding public debt relative to the de facto tax base, where the latter measures the realized tax collection, averaged across...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135878

Capital Flows and Economic Growth in the Era of Financial Integration and Crisis, 1990-2010

Aizenman, Joshua - 2011

We investigate the relationship between economic growth and lagged international capital flows, disaggregated into FDI, portfolio investment, equity investment, and short-term debt. We follow about 100 countries during 1990-2010 when emerging markets became more integrated into the international...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119605

The Fiscal Stimulus of 2009-10 : Trade Openness, Fiscal Space and Exchange Rate Adjustment

Aizenman, Joshua - 2011

This paper studies the cross-country variation of the fiscal stimulus and the exchange rate adjustment propagated by the global crisis of 2008-9, identifying the role of economic structure in accounting for the heterogeneity of response. We find that greater de facto fiscal space prior to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120288

What is the Risk of European Sovereign Debt Defaults? Fiscal Space, CDS Spreads and Market Pricing of Risk

Aizenman, Joshua - 2011

We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for sixty countries based on fiscal space (debt/tax; deficits/tax) and other economic fundamentals over 2005-10. We measure how accurately the model predicts sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads, focusing in particular on the five countries in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120304

Income Inequality, Tax Base and Sovereign Spreads

Aizenman, Joshua - 2012

This paper investigates the association between greater income inequality, de-facto fiscal space, and sovereign spreads. Using data from 50 countries in 2007, 2009 and 2011, we find that higher income inequality is associated with a lower tax base, lower de-facto fiscal space, and higher...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104730

Fundamentals and Sovereign Risk of Emerging Markets

Aizenman, Joshua - 2013

We empirically assess the relative importance of various economic fundamentals in accounting for the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads of emerging markets during 2004-2012, which encompasses the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. Inflation, state fragility, external debt, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083389

The Golden Dilemma

Erb, Claude B. - 2013

While gold objects have existed for thousands of years, gold's role in diversified portfolios is not well understood. We critically examine popular stories such as 'gold is an inflation hedge'. We show that gold may be an effective hedge if the investment horizon is measured in centuries. Over...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088402

Accounting for Global Covid-19 Diffusion Patterns, January-April 2020

Jinjarak, Yothin - 2020

Key factors in modeling a pandemic and guiding policy-making include mortality rates associated with infections; the ability of government policies, medical systems, and society to adapt to the changing dynamics of a pandemic; and institutional and demographic characteristics affecting citizens'...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833737

Dating the Integration of World Equity Markets

Bekaert, Geert - 2008

Measuring the integration of world capital markets is notoriously difficult. For example, regulatory changes which … equity market becomes financially integrated with world capital markets. We find endogenous break dates that are very … markets are on average larger and more liquid than before; returns are more volatile and more highly correlated with the world …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774881

Flexibility of Adjustment to Shocks : Economic Growth and Volatility of Middle-Income Countries Before and after the Global Financial Crisis of 2008

Aizenman, Joshua - 2017

The pronounced and persistent impact of the global financial crisis of 2008 motivates our empirical analysis of the role of institutions and macroeconomic fundamentals on countries' adjustment to shocks. Our empirical analysis shows that the associations of growth level, growth volatility,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954940