Showing 1 - 10 of 11
Emerging markets business cycle models treat default risk as part of an exogenous interest rate on working capital, while sovereign default models treat income fluctuations as an exogenous endowment process with ad-hoc default costs. We propose instead a general equilibrium model of both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123681
This paper reports results for a class of dynamic, stochastic general equilibrium models with credit constraints that can account for some of the empirical regularities of the Sudden Stop phenomenon of recent emerging markets crises. In these models, credit constraints set in motion Irving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761770
The current account reversals, large recessions, and price collapses that define Sudden Stops contradict the predictions of a large class of models in which the current account is a vehicle for consumption smoothing and investment financing. This paper shows that the quantitative predictions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778286
The 1990s emerging-markets crises were characterized by sudden reversals in inflows of foreign capital followed by unusually large declines in current account deficits, private expenditures, production, and prices of nontradable goods relative to tradables. This paper shows that these Sudden...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787676
Ratios of public debt as a share of GDP in Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico were 10 percentage points higher on average … scenario question the sustainability of current debt ratios in Brazil and Colombia, while those in Costa Rica and Mexico seem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218333
, and the Sudden Stops that accompanied the collapse of Mexico's managed exchange rates, could result from an endogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223897
In his seminal 1960 article Robert Mundell proposed a model of balance-of-payments crises in which confidence in the continuation of a currency peg depended on the observed holdings of central bank foreign reserves. We examine the implications of a reformulation of this view from the perspective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235602
Variance decompositions of the Mexico-United States real exchange rate are examined using monthly data on consumer … tradable goods and nominal exchange rates holds only in periods in which Mexico was not under a regime of exchange …-rate management. In periods in the sample in which Mexico had a managed exchange-rate regime, the variability of prices of non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237548
of a small open economy calibrated to Mexico's 1987-1994 stabilization plan. In the model a time-variant interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244367
This paper examines two potential benefits that emerging economies may derive from dollarization. First, dollarization may eliminate distortions induced by the lack of credibility of monetary policy. Second, dollarization may weaken financial frictions that result in endogenous credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227195