Showing 1 - 10 of 47
in financial markets or an upward shift in inflation risks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757933
words, substantial judgment will always be needed to achieve desirable outcomes on both the inflation and employment fronts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759738
This article examines the performance of various financial variables as predictors of subsequent U.S. recessions. Series such as interest rates and spreads, stock prices, currencies, and monetary aggregates are evaluated singly and in comparison with other financial and non-financial indicators....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212897
This paper examines fifteen historical episodes of stock market crashes and their aftermath in the United States over the last one hundred years. Our basic conclusion from studying these episodes is that financial instability is the key problem facing monetary policy makers and not stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217918
solutions such as the conservative central banker and optimal inflation contracts. Our theoretical model also shows how an … inflation targeting range should be set and how it should respond to changes in the nature of shocks to the economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779650
This paper examines what strategies policymakers have used to both reduce and control inflation. It first outlines why … a consensus has emerged that inflation needs to be controlled. Then it examines four basic strategies: exchange rate … pegging, monetary targeting, inflation targeting, and the just do it' strategy of preemptive monetary policy with no explicit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237255
This paper examines what we have learned and how we should change our thinking about monetary policy strategy in the aftermath of the 2007-2009 financial crisis. It starts with a discussion of where the science of monetary policy was before the crisis and how central banks viewed monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130559
of expectations, using either price level or inflation targeting, because the zero lower bound on interest rates means … history dependent strategy, associated with inflation targeting. However, because actions speak louder than words, management …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100365
We examine the potential policy role of monetary aggregates by attempting to use them as effectively as possible in the analysis of empirical relationships. We consider three possible roles: as information variables, as indicators of policy actions and as instruments in a policy rule. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783973
This paper is an application of efficient markets theory to analyze empirically the relationship of money supply growth and long-term interest rates. This approach has the advantage over earlier research on this subject in that it imposes a theoretical structure on this relationship that allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786238