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Terms of Trade Shocks and Economic Performance 1870-1940 : Prebisch and Singer Revisited

Hadass, Yael S.; Williamson, Jeffrey G. - 2021

Debate over trends in the terms of trade between primary commodities and manufactures, their causes and their impact has dominated the literature for more than a century. Classical economists claimed that the terms of trade of primary commodities should improve since land and natural resources...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227739

Industrial Catching Up in the Poor Periphery 1870-1975

Williamson, Jeffrey G. - 2011

that accelerated even more up to 1950-1975. What explains the spread of the industrial revolution world-wide and this … to have taken resource advantages away from the European and North American leaders, and integrating world financial …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129186

Financial Crises, Credit Booms, and External Imbalances : 140 Years of Lessons

Jorda, Oscar - 2010

Do external imbalances increase the risk of financial crises? In this paper, we study the experience of 14 developed countries over 140 years (1870-2008). We exploit our long-run dataset in a number of different ways. First, we apply new statistical tools to describe the temporal and spatial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135415

When, Where, and Why? Early Industrialization in the Poor Periphery 1870-1940

Williamson, Jeffrey G. - 2010

This paper documents industrial output and labor productivity growth around the poor periphery 1870-1940 (Latin America, the European periphery, the Middle East, South Asia, Southeast Asia and East Asia). Intensive and extensive industrial growth accelerated there over these seven critical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138324

Productivity, Tradability, and the Long-Run Price Puzzle

Bergin, Paul R. - 2012

Long-run cross-country price data exhibit a puzzle. Today, richer countries exhibit higher price levels than poorer countries, a stylized fact usually attributed to the Balassa- Samuelson' effect. But looking back fifty years, or more, this effect virtually disappears from the data. What is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114711

External Imbalances and Financial Crises

Taylor, Alan M. - 2012

In broad perspective, there have been essentially two competing views of the global financial crisis, albeit there are some complementarities among them. One view looks across the border: it mainly blames external imbalances, the large-scale mix of unprecedented pattern current account deficits...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096849

The Spread of Manufacturing to the Poor Periphery 1870---2007

Bénétrix, Agustín S. - 2012

This paper documents industrial output growth around the poor periphery (Latin America, the European periphery, the Middle East and North Africa, Asia, and sub-Saharan Africa) between 1870 and 2007. We find that although the roots of rapid peripheral industrialization stretch into the late 19th...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103787

The Impact of Globalization on Pre-Industrial, Technologically Quiescent Economies

Williamson, Jeffrey G. - 2012

This paper uses a new pre-1940 Third World data base documenting real wages and relative factor prices to explore their … wages to land rents, on the other hand, declined up to World War I and so did the ratio of wages to GDP per capita. The …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103885

The Future of International Liquidity and the Role of China

Taylor, Alan M. - 2013

and its possible ascension to reserve currency status. In an unstable and financially integrated world, governments …' precautionary demand for reserve assets is likely to increase. But the world then risks a third crisis of the global reserve system …, another re-run of the Triffin paradox, with an ever-growing emerging-world insurance demand loaded onto a small group of ever …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087068

"Convergence in the Age of Mass Migration"

Taylor, Alan M. - 2013

Between 1870 and 1913, economic convergence among present OECD members (or even a wider sample of countries) was dramatic, about as dramatic as it has been over the past century and a half. The convergence can be documented in GDP per worker-hour, GDP per capita and in real wages. What were the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093434