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and Sweden). We conduct inference with mixed frequency data, combining quarterly series for unemployment, vacancies, GDP …, consumption, and investment, with annual data on unemployment flows. Parameters and shocks are estimated separately for each … country, which can then vary in terms of search and hiring costs, workers' bargaining power, unemployment benefits levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114011
implied by new unemployment claims: we estimate 20 million lost jobs by April 6th, far more than jobs lost over the entire … rise in the unemployment rate over the corresponding period to be surprisingly small, only about 2 percentage points. Third …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836425
Unemployment inflows fell from 4 percent of employment per month in the early 1980s to 2 percent or less by the mid … parameter in search and matching models of unemployment. According to these models, a lower intensity of idiosyncratic shocks … produces less job destruction, fewer workers flowing through the unemployment pool and less frictional unemployment. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758431
sharp discontinuities in eligibility for severance pay and extended unemployment insurance (UI) benefits in Austria …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760593
sharp increase in the incidence of long-term unemployment (LTU) during the Great Recession. We first show that compositional … shifts in demographics, occupation, industry, region, and the reason for unemployment jointly account for very little of the … model that allows for duration dependence in the exit rate from unemployment and for transitions between employment (E …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051310
We measure the changing efficacy of neighborhood-based labor market networks, across the business cycle, in helping displaced workers become re-employed, focusing on the periods before, during, and just after the Great Recession. Networks can only be effective when hiring is occurring, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021029
We empirically and theoretically examine how consumer credit access affects displaced workers. Empirically, we link administrative employment histories to credit reports. We show that an increase in credit limits worth 10% of prior annual earnings allows individuals to take .15 to 3 weeks longer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991679
-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218505
We study how the level of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits that trades off the consumption smoothing benefit with … moral hazard cost is procyclical, greater when the unemployment rate is relatively low. By contrast, our evidence suggests … standard deviation increase in the unemployment rate leads to a roughly 14 to 27 percentage point increase in the welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225016
This chapter assesses how models with search frictions have shaped our understanding of aggregate labor market outcomes in two contexts: business cycle fluctuations and long-run (trend) changes. We first consolidate data on aggregate labor market outcomes for a large set of OECD countries. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144962